منابع مشابه
Understanding Noninflationary Demand-Driven Business Cycles
In this paper we first point out a puzzle regarding the nature of US business cycles over the last thirty years. As is well known, over this period the economy experienced three main cycles. In each case, the common narrative behind these cycles has been that they were in large part driven by demand (residential investment demand in the 2000s, “tech” investment demand in the 1990s, and commerci...
متن کاملNew Evidence on News-Driven Business Cycles
We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and news-driven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of the total TFP response is immediate rather than delayed. We relate this to disembodied technological ...
متن کاملExpectation Driven Firm Dynamics and Business Cycles∗
This paper presents a model incorporating endogenous firm entry (or product creation) that successfully translates positive news about the future into current expansions, and accounts for the positive comovements in output, consumption, investment and employment. The key elements are a time-variant sunk entry cost and variable capital utilization. In response to the expectation of future positi...
متن کاملInformation Flows and News Driven Business Cycles
How do information flows influence business cycle dynamics in models with anticipated (news shocks) and unanticipated innovations? To address this question, we show how alternative specifications of news affect the equilibrium by deriving the mapping between news shocks and the endogenous variables in a simple analytical model. News shocks are shown to add moving average (MA) components to endo...
متن کاملThe Business Cycles of Currency Speculation: a Revision of the Mundellian Framework
In his seminal 1960 study on the dynamics of alternative exchange rate regimes, Robert Mundell proposed a theory of balance-of-payments crises in which speculators base their actions on the observed holdings of central bank foreign reserves. We examine the quantitative implications of this view from the perspective of an equilibrium business cycle model in which rational expectations of a deval...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2019
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3507450